The West demonstrated its impotence in-the face of nuclear proliferation....
Deliberations over the UN sanctions against North Korea or Iran for their nuclear plans bring to memory the League of Nations speak ahead of the WWII. Was German refusal to pay reparations a casus belli? Re-militarization of Rhineland? Considerable military production? No such situation is really a casus belli. Politicians bogged-down in details won't see the great image of the forthcoming war. Then and now.
The West demonstrated its impotence in-the face of nuclear proliferation. China got nuclear weapons with impunity. Pakistan received a minor hit of sanctions. North Korean rulers sagged beneath the weight of sanctions: japan refused to sell them melons. Sanctions against Iran could scarcely include oil, and even so the mullahs may do without the oil for a few time; yet increasing price of oil is going to be blamed to the sanctions.
Ahmadinejad needs a rhetorical, not battleground opponent. Iran uses the bomb to gain prominence in the Muslim world. That spells a development of the Shiite axis, huge discontent in the Arab world, and the arms race. Arab states will hurry to develop nuclear weapons to be on par with Iran. The Arabs know that Iran wont attack Israel with nuclear weapons, but might attack them. Central Asian countries is likewise concerned because Iran contains them in its field of visibility. They join the arms possibly, nuclear arms race, and may have oil money and Russian support against Iran.
Iran will provide nuclear shield to Israeli enemies including Syria or Hezbollah. When Muslim Brotherhood formally involves power in Egypt and switches the policy to conflict with Israel, Iranian nuclear safety enables them to produce the Egyptian army safely. Learn further on our related paper by clicking linklicious backlinks genie. Arab nuclear umbrella invalidates Israels only viable military strategy, preemption. Israel will be unable to operate against Hezbollah since, formally, every Israeli incursion in Lebanon is an aggression, If Iran signs a mutual security treaty with, say, Lebanon. Lebanon would have the ability to conduct an undeclared war against Israel, Egypt would mobilize and move its troops into Sinai, but Israel worried about Iranian nuclear protection could do nothing.
Nuclear containment is a game of nerves. With Iranian nuclear warheads in Pa