Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI)

Businessmen, investors, and government officials from around the world depend on the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) to deliver current economic analysis and predictions of future world economic activity. ECRI allows members access on two levels. At the highest level, ECRI members receive private advisory sessions to discuss recent data, access to ECRI index data for 20 world economies, and copies of all ECRI reports, including Inflation Watch, US Cyclical Outlook, International Cyclical Outlook, and ECRI Weekly Update.

ECRI’s reports are routinely more accurate predictors of economic downturns and upswings than the work of many leading economists, who use data from the recent past in order to predict events of the near future. The Economic Cycle Research Institute, on the other hand, has carefully analyzed more than a century’s worth of data to discover the relationship between leading indicators and changes in the overall rate of economic growth. The analysts at ECRI have discovered that business cycles remain constant and predictable over time, and that, when properly monitored relative to one another, a small selection of key indicators can accurately predict economic cycles.

By 2005, the Economic Cycle Research Institute had given advance warning of the previous three recessions and never had a false alarm. While no predictive method is fool proof, ECRI’s analysis of data routinely outperforms any other metric. The institute even has data that predicts and explains the increased frequency and severity of recessions compared with earlier eras. While most of the institute’s analysis and information is available only to members, certain reports are made public once a week. In addition, selections from the book Beating the Business Cycle, written by ECRI’s cofounders, are available at the ECRI website or on Amazon.com.